Cal Baptist vs Minnesota Basketball Preview and Prediction

(Photograph: College of Minnesota)

The Minnesota Gophers are in California for a pair of pre-Thanksgiving video games as part of the SoCal Problem. Tonight’s challenger? Cal Baptist. A staff that former Gopher Coach Dan Monson beat by 15, but in addition a staff that not too long ago beat Washington. We get you prepared for tonight’s recreation, now!

recreation data

Tip Off: 9:30pm central time (tonight)

TV: CBS Sports activities Community

streaming hyperlink: Watch

Audio: lists

Radio: KFAN 100.3 fm

The place: San Juan Capistrano, California

The Storyline

Jamison Battle. Will he play, or will not he? It is a recreation time resolution and we possible will not know if he’s enjoying till the children are in mattress (within the central and jap time zones in fact) and we settle into the sofa for the night. There have been hints from ben johnson that Battle could be very, very near enjoying. And this is able to be the right time for battle to return as there are a handful of video games towards excessive main groups developing. The SoCal Problem looks as if the right spot for the preseason All Large Ten choice to start out settling into his fourth yr of faculty basketball .

There are plenty of considerations on the market that Cal Baptist might be a favourite tonight towards Minnesota, or a minimum of a 50-50 choose. Why? It is definitely not their preseason choice within the WAC that has folks shaking, they have been picked eighth of out of 12. It wasn’t something from Cal Baptist’s 15 level loss to Dan Monson’s Lengthy Seashore State staff that has anyone anxious. Or the three rating win over CSUN (CSUN by the way in which is Cal State Northridge). What has caught everyone’s consideration is Cal Baptist beating Washington in Seattle 73-64. That and Minnesota’s struggles to place away MAC groups Western Michigan and Central Michigan due to poor defensive rebound and poor foul taking pictures (The MAC has been a fair larger thorn within the facet of twentieth ranked Michigan).

This shall be Minnesota’s first recreation away from Williams Enviornment for the season. Some might see that as an excellent factor, for others it might be a foul factor. All of it will depend on the enterprise mindset of the staff. For some gamers enjoying on the highway might make them extra snug as they step away from native distractions and play in a small venue that can remind them extra of their highschool days (the venue holds are 2,000 folks). So take into accout, beginning Gopher freshman Jaden Henley is from Southern California and up to date standout signing Dennis Evans is from Southern California. Henley will possible be making a begin in entrance of family and friends which might add strain to the sport for him, or excite him to carry out at a excessive degree. We would like see.

The Numbers

The opposite purpose that many view this recreation as a troublesome one for Minnesota? Cal Baptist’s gifted backcourt. Possibly not as speedy as a few of the others however Taran Armstrong (a 6’6 190 pound sophomore) was fifth within the nation in assists final yr which led him being named first staff preseason All WAC. Armstrong totaled 164 assists a yr in the past and he is had 20 in 4 video games thus far, plus he is scoring 14 factors a recreation. Armstrong will take two threes a recreation and do the remainder of his scoring going on the rim the place he is 12 of 18 from the ground this season.

Gopher followers ought to keep in mind Cal Baptist’s main scorer, his title is Joe Quintana and he is a sixth yr senior that got here to Cal Baptist from Loyola Marymount. Joe will transfer the ball however he is on the ground to shoot threes. Quintana takes NINE threes a recreation and he made 43 p.c of his three level makes an attempt each in 2020-21 and 2021-22. Quintana is off to a sluggish proportion begin this yr making solely 32.4 p.c of his makes an attempt however he is nonetheless taking pictures the ball 12-13 instances a recreation so he’s main the staff in scoring at 14.7 factors a recreation. Two seasons in the past LMU performed Minnesota twice in three days and Quintana scored 19 factors within the first recreation, seven factors the second recreation. Joe hit 5 of his 10 threes in these video games.

So how did Cal Baptist beat Washington? For these considering offensive rebounding, Cal Baptist is a guard dominated line-up, they solely grabbed 4 offensive boards towards Washington. Was it their foul taking pictures? No, the Lancers have been 18 of 29 on the foul line. rebounding? Nope, Washington received that by two. Did they flip Washington over? Simply ten instances. Three level taking pictures? Cal Baptist made seven of sixteen. What Cal Baptist did was rating on 52 p.c of their makes an attempt whereas Washington shot beneath 40 p.c and was 4 of 16 on the arc. So in different phrases, Cal Baptist took and made excessive proportion makes an attempt, Washington didn’t.

As for the Gophers, everyone knows the place their struggles have been. However by 4 video games we have to level these items out as soon as once more. Minnesota has made 50 of 92 free throws thus far this yr with Ta’lon Cooper making 10 of 21 and the one gamers on the staff making greater than half their foul pictures are Dawson Garcia (18 of 26) and Jaden Henley (8 of 10). These are terrible, terrible numbers. So if that’s terrible, what do you name giving up 71 offensive rebounds in 4 video games? I do not assume I’ve ever seen a staff quit that many in 4 video games.

The Match Ups

Relaxation simpler Gopher followers, Cal Baptist is an extended, taller guard/wing/ahead group which can take away Minnesota’s edge there, however they don’t have a speedy guard that can blitz this Gopher staff like so most of the earlier opponents. Taran Armstrong – a 190 pound ball handler from Tasmania – is their high expertise and the man that Minnesota has to maintain in entrance of them. The Gophers might doubtlessly have Cooper on him at 6-foot-4 as Cooper will be capable to hold him in entrance after which have your group of Will Ramberg, Braden Carringtonand Jaden Henley Chase Quintana. If they’re disciplined that size on Quintana might work. Ramberg is nice at busting by screens and chasing on screens so this might be his job. Regardless of the case, Armstrong and Quintana rating helped their factors so that they have to be situated.

Cal Baptist actually solely has one heart (7-foot-0 255 kilos Tim Ighoefe) and he performs 17 minutes a recreation. That stated Riley Battin is 6-foot-9 and 240 kilos though far more of a stretch large (he’s averaging 10 factors and seven.5 boards a recreation however is taking pictures horribly at 34 p.c with half the makes an attempt on the arc). They’ve dimension but it surely’s stretch ahead dimension together with the dimensions within the Armstrong brothers at guard (Taran’s brother Tre is 6’6 and performs 14 minutes a recreation). Dawson Garcia will possible have higher luck defeating his preliminary defender however Cal Baptist is an efficient defensive staff so the assistance will converge on him usually no matter what sort of protection they play. Six-foot-7 Reed Nottage (junior from Australia) and 6-foot-7 Hunter Goodrick (sophomore from Australia) would be the gamers possible on Garcia. I anticipate Dawson to have the ability to rating on this recreation particularly if….

Jamison Battle is round to stretch the protection. Will probably be laborious to anticipate Battle in his first recreation again – IF HE PLAYS – to immediately carry out at his highest degree in his first recreation, however the specter of Battle will take strain off of everyone else. If Battle can play that signifies that Garcia has extra space across the rim, Pharrell Payne has extra space across the rim, and Ta’lon Cooper has extra lanes to hit cutters and he has hit cutters at a excessive degree all season.

prediction

I like this match-up for Minnesota particularly if Battle is enjoying. The 2 issues which have actually harm Minnesota this yr are speedy guards attacking deep into the Gopher protection, and naturally groups that offensive rebound in any kind of manner. Cal Baptist is just not a speedy staff, the truth is they are going to be one of many least explosive groups the Gophers play this yr. And they don’t offensive rebound that a lot outdoors of Battin, and Battin is struggling to attain so badly that he has not been in a position to take benefit a lot.

What Cal Baptist does is put a protracted, robust, bodily defending staff on the ground that’s powerful to get good pictures on. That stated, Lengthy Seashore State diced Cal Baptist with ball motion scoring 79 factors totaled with solely 4 threes made. If the Gophers can transfer the ball to get open pictures they usually could make these open pictures they are going to be in a terrific spot. Particularly if that shooter is Jamison Battle. The weapons that Cal Baptist have on offense are seasoned and good, but when this tough working Gopher protection performs constantly they need to be capable to get palms on pictures.

I believe Minnesota wins by two or three scores.

Minnesota 67 Cal Baptist 62

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